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USDJPY--Tuesday Afternoon, February 24, 2009

SInce last week I have been following this pattern evolving on USDJPY:
090224-1641-jpy8hr.gif

To be perfectly frank I thought it was over when the 2.618 delta area was hit last Thursday and my initial trade was a short. But then when it reversed and broke above that level, I began to project the 4.236 level as the next extended target.

But then I saw another pattern--taking the high that occurred near the 1.618 top as an alpha and the subsequent low as a beta, you get this:
090224-1641-jpy8hr-a.gif

Yikes. Which is the valid pattern? Both, probably. They are interwoven--and in a sense, one springs out of the other. But eventually one will eat the other.

Here are some 4 hour charts where the degree to which the price action was entrained to the fibonacci levels becomes even more apparent.
090224-1641-jpy4hr.gif
090224-1641-jpy4hr-a.gif

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