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10 Year Yield--Wednesday, July 14, 2010

Playing around with some Fibonacci patterns on a weekly 10 Year Yield chart.

First, a pattern noticed during the impulsive move from March to June of 2009:
100714-0942-10yrweekly.gif
An alpha-beta base formed from the January low to the March low was followed by an impulsvie move up to approximately 4.00%. The 2.618 Fibonacci target of this pattern was 4.008%, the actual high at 4.014%--a 0.6 basis points difference between target and actual high.

The pattern since that time seems to be a 3 wave non-impulsive correction of the move in 2009 to 4.00%. If that is the case we are currently in the C wave down.

Some potential targets for this C wave:
100714-0942-10yrweekly-a.gif

Another:
100714-0942-10yrweekly-b.gif

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